Modelling the impact of temperature-induced life history plasticity and mate limitation on the epidemic potential of a marine ectoparasite

Overview
TitleModelling the impact of temperature-induced life history plasticity and mate limitation on the epidemic potential of a marine ectoparasite
AuthorsGroner ML, Gettinby G, Stormoen M, Revie CW, Cox R
TypeJournal Article
Journal NamePloS one
Volume9
Issue2
Year2014
Page(s)e88465
CitationGroner ML, Gettinby G, Stormoen M, Revie CW, Cox R. Modelling the impact of temperature-induced life history plasticity and mate limitation on the epidemic potential of a marine ectoparasite. PloS one. 2014; 9(2):e88465.

Abstract

Temperature is hypothesized to contribute to increased pathogenicity and virulence of many marine diseases. The sea louse (Lepeophtheirus salmonis) is an ectoparasite of salmonids that exhibits strong life-history plasticity in response to temperature; however, the effect of temperature on the epidemiology of this parasite has not been rigorously examined. We used matrix population modelling to examine the influence of temperature on demographic parameters of sea lice parasitizing farmed salmon. Demographically-stochastic population projection matrices were created using parameters from the existing literature on vital rates of sea lice at different fixed temperatures and yearly temperature profiles. In addition, we quantified the effectiveness of a single stage-specific control applied at different times during a year with seasonal temperature changes. We found that the epidemic potential of sea lice increased with temperature due to a decrease in generation time and an increase in the net reproductive rate. In addition, mate limitation constrained population growth more at low temperatures than at high temperatures. Our model predicts that control measures targeting preadults and chalimus are most effective regardless of the temperature. The predictions from this model suggest that temperature can dramatically change vital rates of sea lice and can increase population growth. The results of this study suggest that sea surface temperatures should be considered when choosing salmon farm sites and designing management plans to control sea louse infestations. More broadly, this study demonstrates the utility of matrix population modelling for epidemiological studies.

Author Details
Additional information about authors:
Details
1Maya L Groner
2George Gettinby
3Marit Stormoen
4Crawford W Revie
5Ruth Cox
Properties
Additional details for this publication include:
Property NameValue
Publication ModelElectronic-eCollection
ISSN1932-6203
eISSN1932-6203
Publication Date2014
Journal AbbreviationPLoS ONE
DOI10.1371/journal.pone.0088465
Elocation10.1371/journal.pone.0088465
LanguageEnglish
Language Abbreng
Publication TypeJournal Article
Journal CountryUnited States
Publication TypeResearch Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
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PMID: PMID:24505493